Publications›Data Science›Machine Learning
Research PaperResearchia:202610.28069

LCM-Promo: An LLM-Based Uplift Model for Promotion Allocation

Nesta Midavaine

Abstract

We present LCM-Promo, an LLM-based uplift model for promotion allocation. LCM-Promo is a task-specific Large Commerce Model (LCM): a finetuned LLM trained on transactional commerce data to predict user intent and promotion response. It learns monotonic promotion-response curves from production logs by interpreting single-token outputs as conversion-threshold probabilities, while conditioning on session context such as day and delivery shift. In a production A/B test on churn reactivation, LCM-Pr...

Submitted: October 28, 2026Subjects: Machine Learning; Data Science

Description / Details

We present LCM-Promo, an LLM-based uplift model for promotion allocation. LCM-Promo is a task-specific Large Commerce Model (LCM): a finetuned LLM trained on transactional commerce data to predict user intent and promotion response. It learns monotonic promotion-response curves from production logs by interpreting single-token outputs as conversion-threshold probabilities, while conditioning on session context such as day and delivery shift. In a production A/B test on churn reactivation, LCM-Promo increased conversion by 1% and reduced promotion cost by 6% relative to the Segment-EMA production baseline.


Source: arXiv:2610.37570v1 - http://arxiv.org/abs/2610.37570v1 PDF: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2610.37570v1 Original Link: http://arxiv.org/abs/2610.37570v1

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Submission Info
Date:
Oct 28, 2026
Topic:
Data Science
Area:
Machine Learning
Comments:
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