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Research PaperResearchia:202602.12026

Adversarial Graph Traversal

David Banks

Abstract

Suppose a Bayesian agent seeks to traverse a graph. Each time she crosses an edge, she pays a price. The first time she reaches a node, there is a payoff. She has an opponent who can reduce the payoffs. This paper uses adversarial risk analysis to find a solution to her route selection problem. It shows how the traveler is advantaged by having an accurate subjective distribution over the costs/payoffs and by having a Bayesian prior for her opponent's strategic choices. The results are relevant t...

Submitted: February 12, 2026Subjects: Mathematics; Mathematics

Description / Details

Suppose a Bayesian agent seeks to traverse a graph. Each time she crosses an edge, she pays a price. The first time she reaches a node, there is a payoff. She has an opponent who can reduce the payoffs. This paper uses adversarial risk analysis to find a solution to her route selection problem. It shows how the traveler is advantaged by having an accurate subjective distribution over the costs/payoffs and by having a Bayesian prior for her opponent's strategic choices. The results are relevant to military convoy routing, corporate competition, and certain games.


Source: arXiv:2602.11048v1 - http://arxiv.org/abs/2602.11048v1 PDF: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2602.11048v1 Original Link: http://arxiv.org/abs/2602.11048v1

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Date:
Feb 12, 2026
Topic:
Mathematics
Area:
Mathematics
Comments:
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