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Research PaperResearchia:202606.23068

Dynamic estimation of slowly varying sequences

Prashant Gokhale

Abstract

We consider the problem of sequentially approximating functions of each element in a slowly-varying sequence, i.e. one where the magnitude $α_i$ of the difference between the elements at positions $i$ and $i-1$ is small. Recent work on implicit trace estimation shows that when $α_t$ is small, reusing queries to past sequence elements can reduce the overall cost [Dharangutte \& Musco, NeurIPS~2021; Woodruff et al., NeurIPS~2022]. We introduce a framework generalizing this to a variety of linear a...

Submitted: June 23, 2026Subjects: Machine Learning; Data Science

Description / Details

We consider the problem of sequentially approximating functions of each element in a slowly-varying sequence, i.e. one where the magnitude αiα_i of the difference between the elements at positions ii and i1i-1 is small. Recent work on implicit trace estimation shows that when αtα_t is small, reusing queries to past sequence elements can reduce the overall cost [Dharangutte & Musco, NeurIPS2021; Woodruff et al., NeurIPS2022]. We introduce a framework generalizing this to a variety of linear and nonlinear functions on diverse vector spaces, obtaining novel sequential estimation results for matrix powers, spectral densities, Monte Carlo integration, and a boundary value problem from partial differential equations~(PDEs). Furthermore, we develop a novel algorithm for use with this framework that locally scales the estimation budget with αtα_t, obtaining sharper path-length-style variation bounds of form O(i=1mαi)\mathcal O(\sum_{i=1}^mα_i) on the cost of estimating a sequence of length mm. This improves upon the previous implicit trace estimation bound of O(mmaxiαi)\mathcal O(m\cdot\max_iα_i) [Dharangutte & Musco, NeurIPS~2021], which is achieved by fixing the query budget using the worst-case αiα_i and is thus inefficient for stable sequences with rare bursts. Lastly, while all past work assumes a known bound on αiα_i, we show in certain cases how the changes can be estimated on-the-fly with (nearly) no added cost. In summary, our framework makes the sequential approximation toolkit general-purpose and adaptive while improving upon state-of-the-art-guarantees for dynamic trace estimation.


Source: arXiv:2606.23655v1 - http://arxiv.org/abs/2606.23655v1 PDF: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2606.23655v1 Original Link: http://arxiv.org/abs/2606.23655v1

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Submission Info
Date:
Jun 23, 2026
Topic:
Data Science
Area:
Machine Learning
Comments:
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