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Research PaperResearchia:202610.27032

Data-Driven Stochastic Control of Delayed Air-Conditioning Systems

Christian Bayer

Abstract

We consider a stochastic optimal control problem arising in the operation of industrial air-conditioning systems with delayed activation effects. The delayed transition between inactive and operational regimes induces a non-Markovian structure in the controlled dynamics. We derive a regression-based discrete dynamic programming algorithm on nested state-control grids. We give a probabilistic proof of convergence of the idealized time-discrete dynamic programming problem to the continuous-time va...

Submitted: October 27, 2026Subjects: Mathematics; Mathematics

Description / Details

We consider a stochastic optimal control problem arising in the operation of industrial air-conditioning systems with delayed activation effects. The delayed transition between inactive and operational regimes induces a non-Markovian structure in the controlled dynamics. We derive a regression-based discrete dynamic programming algorithm on nested state-control grids. We give a probabilistic proof of convergence of the idealized time-discrete dynamic programming problem to the continuous-time value function. Numerical experiments based on calibrated multidimensional forecast-tracking Ornstein--Uhlenbeck models illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.


Source: arXiv:2610.35811v1 - http://arxiv.org/abs/2610.35811v1 PDF: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2610.35811v1 Original Link: http://arxiv.org/abs/2610.35811v1

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Date:
Oct 27, 2026
Topic:
Mathematics
Area:
Mathematics
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