ExplorerData ScienceData Science
Research PaperResearchia:202601.06046256

Conformal novelty detection with false discovery rate control at the boundary

Zijun Gao

Abstract

Conformal novelty detection is a classical machine learning task for which uncertainty quantification is essential for providing reliable results. Recent work has shown that the BH procedure applied to conformal p-values controls the false discovery rate (FDR). Unfortunately, the BH procedure can lead to over-optimistic assessments near the rejection threshold, with an increase of false discoveries at the margin as pointed out by Soloff et al. (2024). This issue is solved therein by the support ...

Submitted: January 6, 2026Subjects: Data Science; Data Science

Description / Details

Conformal novelty detection is a classical machine learning task for which uncertainty quantification is essential for providing reliable results. Recent work has shown that the BH procedure applied to conformal p-values controls the false discovery rate (FDR). Unfortunately, the BH procedure can lead to over-optimistic assessments near the rejection threshold, with an increase of false discoveries at the margin as pointed out by Soloff et al. (2024). This issue is solved therein by the support line (SL) correction, which is proven to control the boundary false discovery rate (bFDR) in the independent, non-conformal setting. The present work extends the SL method to the conformal setting: first, we show that the SL procedure can violate the bFDR control in this specific setting. Second, we propose several alternatives that provably control the bFDR in the conformal setting. Finally, numerical experiments with both synthetic and real data support our theoretical findings and show the relevance of the new proposed procedures.

Please sign in to join the discussion.

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!

Access Paper
View Source PDF
Submission Info
Date:
Jan 6, 2026
Topic:
Data Science
Area:
Data Science
Comments:
0
Bookmark
Conformal novelty detection with false discovery rate control at the boundary | Researchia