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Research PaperResearchia:202601.29201

Independent Component Discovery in Temporal Count Data

Alexandre Chaussard

Abstract

Advances in data collection are producing growing volumes of temporal count observations, making adapted modeling increasingly necessary. In this work, we introduce a generative framework for independent component analysis of temporal count data, combining regime-adaptive dynamics with Poisson log-normal emissions. The model identifies disentangled components with regime-dependent contributions, enabling representation learning and perturbations analysis. Notably, we establish the identifiabilit...

Submitted: January 29, 2026Subjects: Statistics; Statistics & ML

Description / Details

Advances in data collection are producing growing volumes of temporal count observations, making adapted modeling increasingly necessary. In this work, we introduce a generative framework for independent component analysis of temporal count data, combining regime-adaptive dynamics with Poisson log-normal emissions. The model identifies disentangled components with regime-dependent contributions, enabling representation learning and perturbations analysis. Notably, we establish the identifiability of the model, supporting principled interpretation. To learn the parameters, we propose an efficient amortized variational inference procedure. Experiments on simulated data evaluate recovery of the mixing function and latent sources across diverse settings, while an in vivo longitudinal gut microbiome study reveals microbial co-variation patterns and regime shifts consistent with clinical perturbations.


Source: arXiv:2601.21696v1 - http://arxiv.org/abs/2601.21696v1 PDF: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2601.21696v1 Original Link: http://arxiv.org/abs/2601.21696v1

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Date:
Jan 29, 2026
Topic:
Statistics & ML
Area:
Statistics
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