Asymptotic Analysis of Empirical Dynamic Programming in Infinite-Horizon Stochastic Optimal Control

We derive statistical limit theorems for sample-based approximations of infinite-horizon discounted stochastic optimal control problems in discrete time. Our first result is a functional central limit theorem for the sample-based value function under a uniqueness-type condition on population optimal policies. The limiting law is a mean-zero Gaussian process characterized by a linear fixed point equation that resembles a dynamic programming principle. We compare these asymptotics with those obtained from sample-based policy optimization and illustrate that their limiting variances can be different. We also derive a limit theorem for models with nonunique optimal policies, where the limiting law may be non-Gaussian. Applications to inventory control and renewable harvesting illustrate the theory.

Source: arXiv:2607.21520v1 - http://arxiv.org/abs/2607.21520v1 PDF: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2607.21520v1 Original Link: http://arxiv.org/abs/2607.21520v1